Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.000172 0.000185 0.000200 0.000216 0.000235 0.000254 0.000277
2024-10-20 0.000147 0.000167 0.000188 0.000214 0.000246 0.000282 0.000328
2024-10-27 0.000137 0.000160 0.000186 0.000220 0.000261 0.000313 0.000381
2024-11-03 0.000125 0.000148 0.000177 0.000214 0.000262 0.000324 0.000411
2024-11-10 0.000116 0.000140 0.000170 0.000211 0.000266 0.000338 0.000444
2024-11-17 0.000108 0.000132 0.000164 0.000207 0.000267 0.000348 0.000472
2024-11-24 0.000102 0.000128 0.000161 0.000207 0.000273 0.000365 0.000512
2024-12-01 0.000098 0.000123 0.000157 0.000206 0.000277 0.000381 0.000551
2024-12-08 0.000094 0.000121 0.000156 0.000208 0.000286 0.000403 0.000602
2024-12-15 0.000090 0.000116 0.000152 0.000205 0.000287 0.000412 0.000633
2024-12-22 0.000087 0.000113 0.000150 0.000205 0.000292 0.000429 0.000678
2024-12-29 0.000084 0.000111 0.000148 0.000207 0.000299 0.000450 0.000733
2025-01-05 0.000082 0.000109 0.000148 0.000210 0.000310 0.000478 0.000808
2025-01-12 0.000078 0.000105 0.000144 0.000207 0.000312 0.000491 0.000855
2025-01-19 0.000077 0.000105 0.000146 0.000212 0.000326 0.000528 0.000957
2025-01-26 0.000073 0.000100 0.000140 0.000207 0.000322 0.000531 0.000989
2025-02-02 0.000070 0.000097 0.000137 0.000204 0.000323 0.000541 0.001038
2025-02-09 0.000067 0.000094 0.000133 0.000200 0.000321 0.000548 0.001078
2025-02-16 0.000065 0.000092 0.000131 0.000200 0.000326 0.000569 0.001156
2025-02-23 0.000063 0.000090 0.000130 0.000200 0.000329 0.000587 0.001231
2025-03-02 0.000062 0.000089 0.000129 0.000202 0.000339 0.000617 0.001343
2025-03-09 0.000060 0.000086 0.000126 0.000199 0.000338 0.000626 0.001401
2025-03-16 0.000059 0.000084 0.000125 0.000199 0.000343 0.000648 0.001498